Randers FC 2-0 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 26% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.97
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
18%
3.97
X/2
7%
11.1
X/X
11%
6.25
2/1
8%
21.05
2/2
10%
8.05
2/X
5%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +12%
2.16/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.67
-5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.3 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Vejle
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.06 xG 0.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
362 Passes 290
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Vejle Vejle 2-3 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
25.05.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
14.04.2024 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 0-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
01.12.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
17.09.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
21.11.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
2-0
AWAY Vejle
4.58 xG 0.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
414 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
47 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC saw off Vejle 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Randers FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Randers FC had 56% of the ball to Vejle's 44%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 4.58 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Randers FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Randers FC and 0.83 for Vejle.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs Vejle?

Randers FC 2-0 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 53%, draw 24%, Vejle 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Randers FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Randers FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
24 Nov 2024
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