Omiya Ardija 1-2 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 33%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.72/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.33
+19% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.8 Crosses 23.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.06.2024 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-2
AWAY Kataller Toyama
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
403 Passes 171
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama nicked a narrow win over Omiya Ardija 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 63% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 37%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama?

Omiya Ardija 1-2 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J3 League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 42%, draw 26%, Kataller Toyama 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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