ND Primorje 2-0 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
54%
Away Win
63%
-8.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 67%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
0.52/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.94
-48% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maribor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 Maribor Maribor 4-1 HT 3-1 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
2-0
AWAY Maribor
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje saw off Maribor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, ND Primorje had 43% of the ball to Maribor's 57%, shots finished 13-16.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Maribor?

ND Primorje 2-0 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 23%, draw 23%, Maribor 54%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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