Mura 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
20%
+8.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 60%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.19/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.15
+15% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 4-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
05.05.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
10.03.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.11.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
03.09.2023 Mura Mura 1-3 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
19.03.2023 Mura Mura 2-1 HT 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
0-1
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana nicked a narrow win over Mura 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mura had 42% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 58%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mura and 1.67 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Mura 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mura 28%, draw 26%, Olimpija Ljubljana 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
24 Nov 2024
19:30 ND Primorje vs Maribor Analysis →