Al Duhail SC 4-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
5.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.1
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
10%
7.5
X/2
11%
5.47
X/X
8%
5.99
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
23%
2.79
2/X
5%
12.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.1 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.6pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 49%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.68/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.56
+88% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
15.2 Crosses 6.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Duhail SC
4-2
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.14 xG 1.57
32% Ball Possession 68%
19 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
264 Passes 609
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Duhail SC vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC saw off Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ittihad-Jeddah at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Duhail SC had 32% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 68%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 2.14 to 1.57.

What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Duhail SC 4-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 35%, draw 23%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 42%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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