Nasaf Qarshi 0-1 Tractor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.86
Over 2.5
35%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.18
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.44
6+ Goals
6%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 33% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.33
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
11%
13.75
X/1
11%
7.28
X/2
21%
4.9
X/X
10%
4.69
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
12%
2.88
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
50%
+14.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
50%
-14.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.8pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasaf Qarshi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tractor FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.95/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.40
-23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.3 Crosses 10.5
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasaf Qarshi
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Tractor FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
241 Passes 424
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
21.04.2015 Tractor FC Tractor FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Nasaf Qarshi Nasaf Qarshi AŞMP
25.02.2015 Nasaf Qarshi Nasaf Qarshi 2-1 HT 0-1 Tractor FC Tractor FC AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasaf Qarshi
0-1
AWAY Tractor FC
0.89 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
488 Passes 390
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nasaf Qarshi vs Tractor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tractor FC nicked a narrow win over Nasaf Qarshi 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tractor FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Nasaf Qarshi had 55% of the ball to Tractor FC's 45%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.89 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nasaf Qarshi had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nasaf Qarshi and 1.00 for Tractor FC.

What was the final score of Nasaf Qarshi vs Tractor FC?

Nasaf Qarshi 0-1 Tractor FC in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasaf Qarshi vs Tractor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tractor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nasaf Qarshi 31%, draw 27%, Tractor FC 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tractor FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tractor FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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