Sport Recife 1-3 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.07/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.48
-4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
20.7 Crosses 33.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vitoria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.26
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
335 Passes 269
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.07.2025 Vitoria Vitoria 2-2 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
18.11.2023 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
20.07.2023 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-2 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
04.10.2019 Vitoria Vitoria 2-2 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
09.06.2019 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-1 HT 2-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
15.11.2018 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
1-3
AWAY Vitoria
0.56 xG 0.72
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
398 Passes 246
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sport Recife vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria saw off Sport Recife 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Vitoria made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Sport Recife had 61% of the ball to Vitoria's 39%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.56 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sport Recife and 1.33 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Vitoria?

Sport Recife 1-3 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 34%, draw 28%, Vitoria 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria) ✓ BTTS Yes
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