Vitoria vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
1-2
HT 0-1
Vitoria
BR2
2-2
HT 1-0
Sport Recife
BR2
3-1
HT 2-1
Vitoria
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
Vitoria 2-2 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria and Sport Recife couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vitoria had 49% of the ball to Sport Recife's 51%, shots finished 25-20, expected goals 2.82 to 1.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vitoria and 1.00 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Sport Recife?
Vitoria 2-2 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 42%, draw 31%, Sport Recife 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.