Santos 1-2 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.52
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
12%
5.06
X/2
10%
6.25
X/X
13%
3.84
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
17%
4.88
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.36/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.30
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.1 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Internacional
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.68 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
369 Passes 356
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Internacional Internacional 7-1 HT 4-0 Santos Santos BR1
04.06.2023 Santos Santos 1-1 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
01.10.2022 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
09.06.2022 Santos Santos 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
29.11.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
23.08.2021 Santos Santos 2-2 HT 2-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
1-2
AWAY Internacional
1.86 xG 2.55
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
460 Passes 212
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santos vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional squeezed past Santos 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Internacional made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos had 64% of the ball to Internacional's 36%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.86 to 2.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santos and 2.17 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Santos vs Internacional?

Santos 1-2 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santos 40%, draw 28%, Internacional 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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