Ceara 0-2 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.32/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.30
-1% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
305 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.0
20.5 Crosses 23.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.82 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
275 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Ceara Ceara 1-2 HT 0-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
30.04.2024 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-2 HT 2-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
12.11.2023 Ceara Ceara 2-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
16.07.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Ceara Ceara BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
0-2
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.86 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 6
364 Passes 290
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 10
68 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC beat Ceara 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Mirassol FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ceara had 56% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 44%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 0.86 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mirassol FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ceara and 1.50 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Mirassol FC?

Ceara 0-2 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ceara 40%, draw 28%, Mirassol FC 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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