Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Palmeiras
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Palmeiras
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
Fluminense 1-2 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras squeezed past Fluminense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Palmeiras made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fluminense had 54% of the ball to Palmeiras's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.78 to 1.62.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fluminense and 0.67 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Fluminense 1-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 38%, draw 31%, Palmeiras 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.