Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fluminense v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fluminense 1-2 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras shaded a tight game against Fluminense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 34% / 32% — and on the day Palmeiras made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (57%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Fluminense had 54% of the ball to Palmeiras's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.78 to 1.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fluminense and 0.67 for Palmeiras.
Fluminense vs Palmeiras Result & Final Score
Fluminense 1 - 2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 34%, draw 34%, Palmeiras 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.