Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Palmeiras v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Palmeiras 0-1 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Palmeiras 1-0 on their travels.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Palmeiras at 66% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.80, about 56%.
By the numbers, Palmeiras had 58% of the ball to Fluminense's 42%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.44 to 0.91.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Palmeiras and 1.17 for Fluminense.
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Result & Final Score
Palmeiras 0 - 1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 66%, draw 20%, Fluminense 14%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.