Corinthians 0-0 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.44
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.11
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.5
X/2
9%
5.77
X/X
17%
3.49
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
9%
4.42
2/X
6%
13.95
Value flag · X/1 at 5.5 — our 23% vs market 14.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.0pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-5.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.6pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.35/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.20
+7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +131%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.5 Crosses 16.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
379 Passes 374
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 2-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
07.07.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 3-0 HT 2-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
20.08.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
16.04.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
20.10.2019 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
09.06.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
0-0
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.33 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
301 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians and Cruzeiro played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Corinthians had 47% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 53%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.33 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Corinthians and 1.33 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?

Corinthians 0-0 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 42%, draw 32%, Cruzeiro 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Corinthians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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