Bragantino 1-2 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.32
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
9%
15.7
X/1
7%
7.49
X/2
15%
4.38
X/X
11%
4.13
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.81
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.17/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.13
+24% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
17.4 Crosses 16.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Flamengo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
281 Passes 402
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
05.05.2024 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
24.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
23.06.2023 Bragantino 4-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
02.10.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 4-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
09.06.2022 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-2
AWAY Flamengo
1.07 xG 0.98
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
282 Passes 522
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo edged past Bragantino 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 37% of the ball to Flamengo's 63%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.07 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bragantino and 1.33 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Flamengo?

Bragantino 1-2 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 26%, draw 29%, Flamengo 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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