Flamengo 2-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.97
6+ Goals
9%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.75
X/1
16%
3.74
X/2
13%
11.0
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
6%
9.3
2/X
6%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.77/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.62
-5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.3 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bragantino
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.71 xG 1.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
396 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
24.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
23.06.2023 Bragantino 4-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
02.10.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 4-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
09.06.2022 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
07.10.2021 Bragantino 1-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
2-1
AWAY Bragantino
1.26 xG 1.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 10
396 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo squeezed past Bragantino 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Flamengo had 56% of the ball to Bragantino's 44%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.26 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Flamengo and 1.33 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Bragantino?

Flamengo 2-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 48%, draw 26%, Bragantino 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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