Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Vitoria
BR1
1-2
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
Sao Paulo 2-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo squeezed past Vitoria 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 58% of the ball to Vitoria's 42%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.65 to 1.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vitoria.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.67 for Vitoria.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Vitoria?
Sao Paulo 2-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Vitoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 44%, draw 29%, Vitoria 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.