Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sao Paulo v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sao Paulo 2-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo shaded a tight game against Vitoria 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 58% to 42% in Sao Paulo's favour, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.65 to 1.24 — by the quality of chances, Vitoria deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Sao Paulo against 0.67 for Vitoria.
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Result & Final Score
Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 55%, draw 27%, Vitoria 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.