Cruzeiro 3-0 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.93
6+ Goals
8%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.27
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
10%
15.2
X/1
16%
4.12
X/2
7%
9.47
X/X
12%
4.76
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
10%
8.04
2/X
6%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.52/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.34
-9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.5 Crosses 15.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Corinthians
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
370 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.07.2025 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
20.11.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 2-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
07.07.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 3-0 HT 2-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
20.08.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
16.04.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
20.10.2019 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
3-0
AWAY Corinthians
1.84 xG 0.21
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
299 Passes 350
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro cruised past Corinthians 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 47% of the ball to Corinthians's 53%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.84 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.00 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?

Cruzeiro 3-0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 51%, draw 28%, Corinthians 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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