AS Marsa 1-0 EM Mahdia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 24 Dec 2024

📅24/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.6pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.7pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 25%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.05/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.15
-19% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
162 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Marsa
1-0
AWAY EM Mahdia
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Marsa vs EM Mahdia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa edged past EM Mahdia 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AS Marsa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, AS Marsa had 64% of the ball to EM Mahdia's 36%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of AS Marsa vs EM Mahdia?

AS Marsa 1-0 EM Mahdia in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 24/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Marsa vs EM Mahdia?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Marsa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AS Marsa 42%, draw 36%, EM Mahdia 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Marsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AS Marsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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