Oued Ellil 2-4 AS Ariana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 24 Dec 2024

📅24/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-14.3pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oued Ellil EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.52/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.00
+13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -38%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 5.5
POST-MATCH Oued Ellil vs AS Ariana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana got the better of Oued Ellil 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day AS Ariana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Oued Ellil vs AS Ariana?

Oued Ellil 2-4 AS Ariana in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 24/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oued Ellil vs AS Ariana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oued Ellil win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oued Ellil 39%, draw 33%, AS Ariana 28%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oued Ellil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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