Moknine 1-2 Msaken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 24 Dec 2024

📅24/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moknine EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Msaken EU Bookmakers 25%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.00/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.76
+57% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moknine
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Msaken
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
11.03.2023 Msaken Msaken 2-2 HT 2-1 Moknine TUN2
POST-MATCH Moknine vs Msaken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Msaken squeezed past Moknine 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Moknine at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Moknine vs Msaken?

Moknine 1-2 Msaken in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 24/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moknine vs Msaken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moknine win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moknine 47%, draw 31%, Msaken 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Moknine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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