Samsunspor 2-1 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 24 Dec 2025

📅24/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.27
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.07
2-3 Goals
38%
2.09
4-5 Goals
23%
2.51
6+ Goals
14%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.42
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
22.25
X/1
23%
4.0
X/2
5%
21.8
X/X
7%
9.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.65
2/2
7%
17.7
2/X
4%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
74%
-4.3pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.3pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 12%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.29/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.87
-11% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.73 xG 0.79
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
283 Passes 350
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TSL
04.05.2025 Samsunspor Samsunspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TSL
08.12.2024 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
22.01.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-4 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
20.08.2022 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
17.04.2022 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
2-1
AWAY Eyüpspor
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor squeezed past Eyüpspor 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Samsunspor had 65% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 35%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Samsunspor and 1.17 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Eyüpspor?

Samsunspor 2-1 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - Cup on 24/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 70%, draw 15%, Eyüpspor 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TÜK More Turkey - Cup
24 Dec 2025
13:00 Iğdır FK vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. Analysis →
15:30 Boluspor vs Fethiyespor Analysis →
18:00 Keçiörengücü vs Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı Analysis →