Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Jan 2024

Çaykur Rizespor
1-0 HT 0-0
Trabzonspor
📅25/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.71
Over 2.5
56%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.82
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.18
6+ Goals
14%
20.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.18 — our 26% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
16%
4.96
X/2
9%
5.86
X/X
12%
4.14
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
18%
4.32
2/X
6%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
55%
-10.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
45%
+10.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Çaykur Rizespor v Trabzonspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -15%
1.60/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.51
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.6 Crosses 15.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.65 xG 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
258 Passes 403
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-3 HT 0-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
18.03.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-2 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
29.10.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
10.04.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
19.12.2020 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
29.02.2020 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 5-2 HT 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL

Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 Trabzonspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1-0
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.63 xG 0.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
216 Passes 324
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor squeezed past Trabzonspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Çaykur Rizespor made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 43% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 57%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.63 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 2.17 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?

Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 39%, draw 23%, Trabzonspor 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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