Galatasaray 3-1 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.17
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.47
2-3 Goals
34%
2.36
4-5 Goals
30%
2.38
6+ Goals
15%
4.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.22
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
9%
34.0
X/1
18%
3.59
X/2
4%
34.0
X/X
8%
13.2
2/1
7%
21.75
2/2
8%
26.5
2/X
4%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
80%
-17.8pp
22%
Draw
13%
+8.5pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
2.55/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.89
-2% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
476 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
25.6 Crosses 11.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
5W-1D-0L
AWAY İstanbulspor
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.76 xG 0.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
414 Passes 281
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
43 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
16.05.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
25.12.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
12.03.2005 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
26.09.2004 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-1 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
02.05.2004 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-2 HT 1-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
3-1
AWAY İstanbulspor
2.34 xG 0.41
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
442 Passes 163
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
36 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray beat İstanbulspor 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Galatasaray had 67% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 33%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.34 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Galatasaray and 0.67 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs İstanbulspor?

Galatasaray 3-1 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 62%, draw 22%, İstanbulspor 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5
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