Alvechurch 3-1 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.53/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.42
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
0W-1D-2L
AWAY AFC Telford United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.10.2024 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-1 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
19.03.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-2 HT 0-2 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
24.10.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch got the better of AFC Telford United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Alvechurch found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Telford United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Alvechurch and 1.33 for AFC Telford United.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs AFC Telford United?

Alvechurch 3-1 AFC Telford United in the England - Non League Premier on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 38%, draw 24%, AFC Telford United 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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