Stamford 1-0 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.3pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stamford EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.79/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.03
+2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stamford
1W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.09.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 3-0 HT 0-0 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
10.02.2024 Stamford Stamford 2-2 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
30.09.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-2 HT 1-1 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stamford vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stamford nicked a narrow win over AFC Sudbury 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stamford as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stamford and 2.00 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Stamford vs AFC Sudbury?

Stamford 1-0 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stamford vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stamford win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stamford 48%, draw 30%, AFC Sudbury 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stamford) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stamford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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