AFC Sudbury 3-0 Stamford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
27%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.15
Over 2.5
63%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.55
No
34%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.5pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.3pp
27%
Away Win
38%
-10.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
60%
+5.3pp
34%
BTTS No
40%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stamford EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.77/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/2.21
+18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Stamford
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.02.2024 Stamford Stamford 2-2 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
30.09.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-2 HT 1-1 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Stamford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury cruised past Stamford 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Sudbury as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stamford led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AFC Sudbury and 2.00 for Stamford.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Stamford?

AFC Sudbury 3-0 Stamford in the England - Non League Premier on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Stamford?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Sudbury win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 41%, draw 32%, Stamford 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Sudbury), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Sudbury) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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