Matlock Town vs Workington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matlock Town v Workington — Team-Based Signals
Matlock Town vs Workington Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Workington
İNGNLP
Matlock Town 2-1 Workington — Actual Match Statistics
Matlock Town edged past Workington 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Workington at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Matlock Town had 38% of the ball to Workington's 62%, shots finished 10-16.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Workington led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Matlock Town and 2.00 for Workington.
What was the final score of Matlock Town vs Workington?
Matlock Town 2-1 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matlock Town vs Workington?
Before kick-off our model rated an Workington win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Matlock Town 31%, draw 26%, Workington 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.