Dorchester Town 3-2 AFC Totton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
40%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.8pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.4pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-12.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.8pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 56%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.12/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.40
-15% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorchester Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Totton
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
28.02.2024 AFC Totton AFC Totton 4-4 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Dorchester Town vs AFC Totton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorchester Town nicked a narrow win over AFC Totton 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (27% / 32% / 40%) promised a tight game; Dorchester Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Dorchester Town vs AFC Totton?

Dorchester Town 3-2 AFC Totton in the England - Non League Premier on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorchester Town vs AFC Totton?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dorchester Town 27%, draw 32%, AFC Totton 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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