Whitby Town 1-2 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +26%
1.17/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.44
-22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Whitby Town
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ashton United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 4-1 HT 2-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
21.02.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
04.10.2022 Ashton United Ashton United 0-1 HT 0-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
16.04.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
24.08.2021 Ashton United Ashton United 1-3 HT 1-2 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Whitby Town
1-2
AWAY Ashton United
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United nicked a narrow win over Whitby Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ashton United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Whitby Town had 52% of the ball to Ashton United's 48%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Whitby Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Whitby Town and 1.50 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs Ashton United?

Whitby Town 1-2 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 36%, draw 28%, Ashton United 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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