Arenas de Getxo 2-3 SD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.51
Over
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Logrones The Market 30%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.95/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.00
-26% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
36.0 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY SD Logrones
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.09.2024 SD Logrones SD Logrones 2-1 HT 0-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
2-3
AWAY SD Logrones
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones edged past Arenas de Getxo 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Arenas de Getxo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 69% of the ball to SD Logrones's 31%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs SD Logrones?

Arenas de Getxo 2-3 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs SD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenas de Getxo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 43%, draw 31%, SD Logrones 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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