Bergantinos 0-1 Coruxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.54
Over
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Coruxo The Market 32%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.26/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.85
+4% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Coruxo
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Coruxo Coruxo 2-1 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
08.01.2023 Coruxo Coruxo 3-0 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
16.04.2022 Coruxo Coruxo 1-0 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
27.11.2021 Bergantinos Bergantinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Coruxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coruxo squeezed past Bergantinos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bergantinos at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Coruxo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Bergantinos and 1.50 for Coruxo.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Coruxo?

Bergantinos 0-1 Coruxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Coruxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 41%, draw 26%, Coruxo 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bergantinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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