Bellinzona 3-0 FC Schaffhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.67
Over
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.54
2-3
43%
1.71
4-5
22%
4.12
6+
8%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.5pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Schaffhausen The Market 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
1.19/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.54
-23% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.5 Crosses 13.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-1 HT 2-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
24.08.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
23.04.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
15.03.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-1 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
22.10.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
26.09.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
3-0
AWAY FC Schaffhausen
3.05 xG 2.12
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
450 Passes 163
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
42 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs FC Schaffhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bellinzona cruised past FC Schaffhausen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 30%) promised a tight game; Bellinzona found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 67% of the ball to FC Schaffhausen's 33%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 3.05 to 2.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Schaffhausen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bellinzona and 1.00 for FC Schaffhausen.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs FC Schaffhausen?

Bellinzona 3-0 FC Schaffhausen in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs FC Schaffhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 35%, draw 35%, FC Schaffhausen 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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