FC Schaffhausen 2-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
0.93/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.47
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
16.8 Crosses 15.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Schaffhausen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bellinzona
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.08.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
23.04.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
15.03.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-1 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
22.10.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
26.09.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
17.09.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Schaffhausen
2-1
AWAY Bellinzona
1.47 xG 1.66
30% Ball Possession 70%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
194 Passes 534
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Schaffhausen vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Schaffhausen nicked a narrow win over Bellinzona 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bellinzona at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Schaffhausen had 30% of the ball to Bellinzona's 70%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.47 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 1.17 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of FC Schaffhausen vs Bellinzona?

FC Schaffhausen 2-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Schaffhausen vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Schaffhausen 29%, draw 26%, Bellinzona 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bellinzona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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