Stade Ouchy 2-2 Vaduz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
2.81
6+ Goals
9%
7.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.82 — our 30% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+15.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-15.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.5pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaduz EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.24/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.12
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
316 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
16.0 Crosses 13.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vaduz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.67 xG 3.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
237 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 3-1 HT 2-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
23.05.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
18.03.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 0-0 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
19.10.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-5 HT 0-2 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
02.10.2022 Vaduz Vaduz 0-2 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
14.05.2022 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 2-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
2-2
AWAY Vaduz
1.35 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
309 Passes 249
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Vaduz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy and Vaduz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Ouchy at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 55% of the ball to Vaduz's 45%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.35 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vaduz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stade Ouchy and 2.00 for Vaduz.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Vaduz?

Stade Ouchy 2-2 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Vaduz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 43%, draw 29%, Vaduz 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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