Neuchatel Xamax 1-4 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.54/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.15
+17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
14.3 Crosses 13.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Wil 1900
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.79 xG 1.07
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
437 Passes 295
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 4-0 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
23.04.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
17.03.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
03.11.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
22.09.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
14.04.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-1 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1-4
AWAY Wil 1900
0.79 xG 2.32
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
413 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 ran out comfortable winners over Neuchatel Xamax 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Neuchatel Xamax at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 55% of the ball to Wil 1900's 45%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.79 to 2.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wil 1900 led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.83 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Wil 1900?

Neuchatel Xamax 1-4 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 42%, draw 26%, Wil 1900 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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