Stade Nyonnais 1-6 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.89
6+ Goals
8%
8.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 28% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 57%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.32/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.11
+85% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -36%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
21.2 Crosses 21.6
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Thun
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.22 xG 1.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
286 Passes 282
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Thun Thun 4-2 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
25.06.2024 Thun Thun 3-0 HT 2-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais HAZ
27.04.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-0 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
02.02.2024 Thun Thun 4-1 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
24.11.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 3-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
21.07.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
1-6
AWAY Thun
1.14 xG 3.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
365 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 37
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun ran out comfortable winners over Stade Nyonnais 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 56% of the ball to Thun's 44%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.14 to 3.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 2.33 for Thun.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Thun?

Stade Nyonnais 1-6 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 23%, draw 27%, Thun 50%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ BTTS Yes
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