Como (K) 0-3 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.38/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 0.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
258 Passes 322
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-4 HT 1-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
28.01.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
21.10.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
0-3
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
2.05 xG 0.89
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 0
399 Passes 184
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
30 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) ran out comfortable winners over Como (K) 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sassuolo (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Como (K) had 64% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 36%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.05 to 0.89 — on chances, Como (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Como (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Como (K) and 1.33 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Como (K) 0-3 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 37%, draw 25%, Sassuolo (K) 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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