Erzgebirge Aue 0-0 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.09
1/2
9%
25.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
17%
6.26
X/2
14%
5.49
X/X
9%
4.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
28.0
2/2
17%
3.33
2/X
8%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.42/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.40
+1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
17.7 Crosses 22.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.95 xG 0.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
270 Passes 305
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-2 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
04.02.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-1 HT 1-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
07.08.2022 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 HT 1-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
23.05.2021 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
22.01.2021 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-1 HT 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
21.02.2020 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
0-0
AWAY Osnabrück
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 9
296 Passes 233
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzgebirge Aue and Osnabrück fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 53% of the ball to Osnabrück's 47%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 0.83 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück?

Erzgebirge Aue 0-0 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 37%, draw 23%, Osnabrück 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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