Sandhausen 3-4 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
13%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.75
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.85
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
11%
6.89
X/2
19%
5.06
X/X
12%
4.93
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
17%
2.95
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.85 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.81/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.09
+42% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.4 Crosses 21.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
231 Passes 419
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.08.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-1 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
13.04.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 4-1 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
04.11.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-2 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
17.07.2019 Sandhausen Sandhausen 4-3 HT 3-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken HAZ
19.01.2019 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen HAZ
10.04.2012 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 2-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
3-4
AWAY Saarbrücken
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
305 Passes 197
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken squeezed past Sandhausen 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Sandhausen had 58% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 42%, shots finished 23-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sandhausen and 1.83 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Saarbrücken?

Sandhausen 3-4 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 30%, draw 25%, Saarbrücken 45%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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