Saarbrücken 4-1 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
13%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.55
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.5
X/1
16%
4.3
X/2
10%
7.37
X/X
8%
5.41
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
22.7
2/2
12%
5.34
2/X
8%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.69/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.90
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Sandhausen
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
7 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-2 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
17.07.2019 Sandhausen Sandhausen 4-3 HT 3-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken HAZ
19.01.2019 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen HAZ
10.04.2012 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 2-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
29.10.2011 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
4-1
AWAY Sandhausen
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken swept aside Sandhausen 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 57% of the ball to Sandhausen's 43%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Saarbrücken and 1.60 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Sandhausen?

Saarbrücken 4-1 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 46%, draw 27%, Sandhausen 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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