Ulm 1846 2-0 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 13 Apr 2024

Ulm 1846
2-0 HT 1-0
Preussen Münster
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Ulm 1846 vs Preussen Münster Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
16%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.93
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
14%
4.87
X/2
9%
6.79
X/X
12%
4.8
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
18%
4.69
2/X
10%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulm 1846 v Preussen Münster — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 33%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.88/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.45
+18% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
– Crosses 21.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ulm 1846 vs Preussen Münster Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Preussen Münster
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 3-2 HT 2-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3

Ulm 1846 2-0 Preussen Münster — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
2-0
AWAY Preussen Münster
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 saw off Preussen Münster 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ulm 1846 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 40% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 60%, shots finished 8-3.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Preussen Münster?

Ulm 1846 2-0 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 3rd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 36%, draw 27%, Preussen Münster 36%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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