Verl vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Verl v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals
Verl vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Verl
AL3
2-3
HT 0-1
Verl
AL3
3-2
HT 2-1
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
Verl 3-1 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics
Verl saw off Erzgebirge Aue 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Verl made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Verl had 44% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 56%, shots finished 10-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Verl had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Verl and 1.67 for Erzgebirge Aue.
What was the final score of Verl vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Verl 3-1 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Verl vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Verl 37%, draw 28%, Erzgebirge Aue 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Verl), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.