Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-1 Düren Merzenich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.24/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.30
-23% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Düren Merzenich
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.08.2024 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
13.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-0 HT 0-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 5-0 HT 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
08.04.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-0 HT 0-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 0-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Düren Merzenich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf II and Düren Merzenich shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Düren Merzenich led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf II and 1.40 for Düren Merzenich.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Düren Merzenich?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-1 Düren Merzenich in the Germany - Regional League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Düren Merzenich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf II 39%, draw 28%, Düren Merzenich 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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