Paderborn 07 II 2-2 Köln II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln II EU Bookmakers 34%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.55/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.56
-9% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn 07 II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Köln II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.08.2024 Köln II Köln II 5-0 HT 2-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
05.04.2024 Köln II Köln II 1-0 HT 1-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
25.10.2023 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 3-1 HT 1-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Paderborn 07 II vs Köln II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn 07 II and Köln II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paderborn 07 II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Köln II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paderborn 07 II and 2.33 for Köln II.

What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Köln II?

Paderborn 07 II 2-2 Köln II in the Germany - Regional League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Köln II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 44%, draw 27%, Köln II 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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