Shabab Al Ahli 2-1 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.54
6+ Goals
9%
6.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.12 — our 26% vs market 13.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-16.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
17%
+12.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 20%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/0.59
-12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Ahli
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Ajman
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.96 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
374 Passes 303
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Ajman Ajman 1-1 HT 1-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
18.08.2024 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAELK
03.01.2022 Ajman Ajman 0-1 HT 0-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
17.12.2021 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shabab Al Ahli
2-1
AWAY Ajman
66% Ball Possession 34%
27 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ahli vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ahli edged past Ajman 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shabab Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Shabab Al Ahli had 66% of the ball to Ajman's 34%, shots finished 27-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shabab Al Ahli and 0.50 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ahli vs Ajman?

Shabab Al Ahli 2-1 Ajman in the UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ahli vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ahli 47%, draw 24%, Ajman 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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