SV Zulte Waregem 3-2 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.52
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.48
6+ Goals
14%
5.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 22%
-18% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.79/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.36
-9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +60%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
484 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
22.1 Crosses 7.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
3W-2D-1L
AWAY AS Eupen
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.41 xG 2.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 355
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 1-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
15.04.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-5 HT 0-4 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
12.11.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 5-5 HT 2-3 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
12.03.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 3-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
01.12.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 3-2 HT 0-2 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEK
06.11.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 1-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
3-2
AWAY AS Eupen
2.38 xG 1.14
74% Ball Possession 26%
28 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
527 Passes 142
87% Pass Accuracy 64%
49 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SV Zulte Waregem vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem nicked a narrow win over AS Eupen 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Zulte Waregem as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 74% of the ball to AS Eupen's 26%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 2.38 to 1.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold SV Zulte Waregem's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SV Zulte Waregem had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for SV Zulte Waregem and 1.83 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs AS Eupen?

SV Zulte Waregem 3-2 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 52%, draw 24%, AS Eupen 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✓ Over 2.5
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