RFC Seraing 1-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 50%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
1.22/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.24
-14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
18.6 Crosses 31.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.70 xG 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
280 Passes 319
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 0-1 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
14.01.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-5 HT 1-3 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
30.09.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 0-2 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
1-1
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
0.39 xG 0.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
272 Passes 261
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Seraing and Boussu Dour Borinage shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 50% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 50%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.39 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, RFC Seraing had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for RFC Seraing and 1.67 for Boussu Dour Borinage.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

RFC Seraing 1-1 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 32%, draw 29%, Boussu Dour Borinage 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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