Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.58
X/2
11%
7.86
X/X
13%
4.5
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
9%
6.08
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.76/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.54
-24% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 70%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
22.4 Crosses 16.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 1.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
273 Passes 172
66% Pass Accuracy 59%
21 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
09.03.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
05.08.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
15.01.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-1 HT 1-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
21.10.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 4-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
19.03.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 5-0 HT 4-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-1
AWAY Cercle Brugge
0.69 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
296 Passes 315
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi and Cercle Brugge shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 50% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 50%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.69 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.50 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?

Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 51%, draw 23%, Cercle Brugge 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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