Westerlo 1-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.59
6+ Goals
15%
6.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.74
1/2
8%
20.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
12%
7.57
X/2
15%
5.2
X/X
11%
5.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
18%
2.65
2/X
7%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.9pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.89/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.24
+75% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 83%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
16.6 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Genk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.25 xG 2.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
339 Passes 413
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
17.03.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
01.10.2023 Genk Genk 3-3 HT 2-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
17.01.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 0-2 Genk Genk BEL
09.11.2022 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEK
18.10.2022 Genk Genk 6-1 HT 5-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
1-2
AWAY Genk
1.24 xG 0.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
401 Passes 512
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk squeezed past Westerlo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Westerlo had 46% of the ball to Genk's 54%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.24 to 0.74 — the balance of chances actually favoured Westerlo.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Westerlo and 2.50 for Genk.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Genk?

Westerlo 1-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 35%, draw 23%, Genk 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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