Club Brugge 1-1 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Jan 2025

Club Brugge
1-1 HT 1-1
Kortrijk
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Club Brugge vs Kortrijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.51
Over 2.5
66%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
5.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.6
6+ Goals
17%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.39
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
23.4
X/1
21%
3.79
X/2
4%
23.0
X/X
6%
8.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
21.7
2/2
6%
19.8
2/X
5%
27.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 6% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
74%
-5.5pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.3pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Brugge v Kortrijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
2.45/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.10
+14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
475 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
36.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
22.8 Crosses 15.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Club Brugge vs Kortrijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.74 xG 0.86
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
489 Passes 220
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
40 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
30.01.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-3 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
21.10.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
18.03.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
21.08.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
30.01.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL

Club Brugge 1-1 Kortrijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
1-1
AWAY Kortrijk
2.70 xG 0.75
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
614 Passes 249
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
45 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge and Kortrijk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Club Brugge carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Brugge had 69% of the ball to Kortrijk's 31%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.70 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club Brugge and 1.00 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Kortrijk?

Club Brugge 1-1 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 69%, draw 17%, Kortrijk 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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